Let \(\{X_n:n\in \mathbb {N}\}\) be a sequence of i.i.d. positive integrable random variables. Define \(T_n=X_1+\cdots +X_n\), \(n\in \mathbb {N}\), and \[ N(t)=\max \{n\in \mathbb {N}:T_n\leq t\}, \qquad t\geq 0. \] Show that with probability one, \[ \frac {N(t)}{t}\to \frac {1}{\mathbb {E}[X_1]} \qquad \text {as } t\to \infty . \] (Hint: Sketch what the process \(t\mapsto N(t)\) looks like for a fixed realization of the \(X_n\). What do you know about the asymptotic behavior of the jump times?)
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Math 6010 • Linear Models
Spring 2020 • Question 5